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Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kyustendil and Slivnishki Geroy finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kyustendil
30%
Draws
39%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slivnishki Geroy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Slivnishki Geroy haven't matched Kyustendil's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kyustendil a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 18%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil
2:4
May 14, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Kyustendil
2:2
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Slivnishki Geroy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 36 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Slivnishki Geroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyustendil's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Slivnishki Geroy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kyustendil has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Slivnishki Geroy
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 7

Slivnishki Geroy

(Away)
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)