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L Hospitalet vs Montanesa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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Match Events

3' Event
Pentelei V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between L Hospitalet and Montanesa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward L Hospitalet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
L Hospitalet
15%
Draws
36%
Montanesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: L Hospitalet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and L Hospitalet come out ahead of Montanesa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans L Hospitalet's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Hospitalet Montanesa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.76 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Montanesa
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs L Hospitalet
0:3
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Montanesa
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs L Hospitalet
1:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs Montanesa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Pentelei V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Montanesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 95 / 100
Montanesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Hospitalet Montanesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick L Hospitalet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Hospitalet scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Montanesa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Montanesa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS Montanesa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

L Hospitalet

(Home)
08 Aug
L Hospitalet
2 : 3
CF Badalona
24 May
CF Badalona
1 : 3
L Hospitalet
17 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 2
CF Badalona
10 May
L Hospitalet
0 : 0
Cornella
03 May
CF Badalona
3 : 2
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6

Montanesa

(Away)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
19 Apr
Montanesa
2 : 0
CE Manresa
12 Apr
CE Europa B
4 : 2
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)