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L Hospitalet vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Villaverde K.

AI Match Summary

L Hospitalet host UE Castelldefels in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. L Hospitalet have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against UE Castelldefels's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor UE Castelldefels slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.23 - 1.25) back L Hospitalet to edge this. L Hospitalet in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
L Hospitalet
11%
Draws
9%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: L Hospitalet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • L Hospitalet has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UE Castelldefels.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for L Hospitalet.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Hospitalet UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs UE Castelldefels
0:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs L Hospitalet
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs L Hospitalet
1:2
Nov 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
L Hospitalet vs UE Castelldefels
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs L Hospitalet
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Hospitalet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaverde K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 86 / 100
UE Castelldefels 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Hospitalet UE Castelldefels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Hospitalet scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

L Hospitalet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UE Castelldefels lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olot34247355:2079
2L Hospitalet34223956:2869
3Vilassar de Mar34179841:2760
4CF Badalona341671144:3655
5Prat341312939:3051
6UE Tona341391248:4548
7FC Lescala341461457:5948
8Reus FC Reddis3412101231:2846
9Montanesa341371432:3946
10FE Grama341361541:4745
11Girona B3411111249:4044
12Mollerussa341271533:4643
13San Cristobal CP341341735:5443
14Peralada341191434:3442
15Pobla Mafumet341081631:3938
16FC Vilafranca34891731:5333
17UE Castelldefels34791830:4730
18UE Rapitenca34932236:5130