Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Almunia vs CD Caspe

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gumiel J.
59' Event
Bouayadi H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between La Almunia and CD Caspe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Almunia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
La Almunia
30%
Draws
29%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Caspe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 16%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia CD Caspe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs CD Caspe
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs La Almunia
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs CD Caspe
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs La Almunia
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs La Almunia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Caspe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 31 / 100
CD Caspe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Almunia scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Caspe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: La Almunia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS CD Caspe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
Page 1 of 6

CD Caspe

(Away)
20 Sept
CD Caspe
1 : 1
Zaragoza B
13 Sept
Huesca B
1 : 0
CD Caspe
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)