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La Almunia vs Fraga Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Clavero J.
29' Event
Garin A.
66' Event
Embid M.

AI Match Summary

La Almunia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Almunia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
La Almunia
30%
Draws
31%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Almunia lately — more wins on the board than Fraga.
  • Win probability leans La Almunia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 20%
Fraga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Fraga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Fraga
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Almunia
2:1
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Fraga
5:2
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Almunia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Clavero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Fraga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 49 / 100
Fraga 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Almunia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: La Almunia scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Fraga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: La Almunia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Fraga
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.4
75% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
27 Sept
Epila
1 : 3
La Almunia
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
Page 1 of 7

Fraga

(Away)
26 Sept
Huesca B
0 : 0
Fraga
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)