Sport Picks
La Almunia vs UD Casetas Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 
Match Events
32'
32'
Fernandez Arruebo M.
44'
44'
Bouayadi H.
56'
56'
Carrim U.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Almunia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- La Almunia have won more games recently than UD Casetas.
- Model gives La Almunia a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Almunia | UD Casetas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs UD Casetas
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs La Almunia
0:1
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs UD Casetas
1:0
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs La Almunia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Almunia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouayadi H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ezquera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
UD Casetas Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez Arruebo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carrim U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Almunia 68 / 100
UD Casetas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Almunia UD Casetas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Almunia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Casetas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
La Almunia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: La Almunia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
La Almunia VS UD Casetas
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
La Almunia
(Home) 27 Sept
Epila
1 : 3 La Almunia
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1 Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0 La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2 Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1 La Almunia
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1 Binefar
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2 Huesca B
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1 Epila
19 Apr
La Almunia
0 : 1 Andorra CF
05 Apr
La Almunia
1 : 1 Tamarite
Page 1 of 3
UD Casetas
(Away) 08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1 UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1 UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0 Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1 Tamarite
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1 UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1 UD Casetas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
12 Apr
Atletico Monzon
7 : 2 UD Casetas
29 Mar
CD Carinena
1 : 1 UD Casetas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
