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La Baneza vs Bupolsa

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between La Baneza and Bupolsa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bupolsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
La Baneza
15%
Draws
34%
Bupolsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Baneza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • La Baneza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 26%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Baneza Bupolsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs La Baneza
0:1
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Bupolsa
0:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs La Baneza
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Bupolsa
1:3
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs La Baneza
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Baneza 33 / 100
Bupolsa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Baneza Bupolsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bupolsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bupolsa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Bupolsa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: La Baneza scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Baneza VS Bupolsa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Baneza

(Home)
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
0 : 3
Atletico Astorga
20 Jun
La Baneza
0 : 4
Almazan
12 Jun
Colegios Diocesanos
2 : 0
La Baneza
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
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Bupolsa

(Away)
20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0
Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0
Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1
La Baneza
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