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La Baneza vs Colegios Diocesanos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Baneza play Colegios Diocesanos in the Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Baneza averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Colegios Diocesanos averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, La Baneza won 0, Colegios Diocesanos won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for La Baneza and 0.99 for Colegios Diocesanos. This points to a Colegios Diocesanos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Baneza
18%
Draws
46%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Colegios Diocesanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • La Baneza picked up more points recently compared to Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 23%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Baneza Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs La Baneza
2:0
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Baneza 37 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Baneza Colegios Diocesanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colegios Diocesanos or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Baneza attacking → ← attacking Colegios Diocesanos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Baneza scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Colegios Diocesanos let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

La Baneza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Colegios Diocesanos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63