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La Estrella vs Montijo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between La Estrella and Montijo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Estrella
15%
Draws
85%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montijo come out ahead of La Estrella on wins alone.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Estrella Montijo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Montijo
1:1
Nov 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs La Estrella
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Estrella 32 / 100
Montijo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Estrella Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montijo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

La Estrella found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Montijo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montijo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Estrella

(Home)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Montijo

(Away)
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)