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La Fiorita vs Tre Penne

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Guidi T.
Assist: Semprini J.
25'
Mosquera S.
70' Event
Bartoli T.
Assist: Nigretti G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
La Fiorita
28%
Draws
50%
Tre Penne
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than La Fiorita.
  • Win probability leans Tre Penne's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 17%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita Tre Penne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs La Fiorita
0:1
May 9, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs La Fiorita
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Tre Penne
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Guidi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartoli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 23 / 100
Tre Penne 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita Tre Penne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tre Penne has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

La Fiorita has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS Tre Penne
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Juvenes/Dogana1
AC Libertas1
Folgore-
TBD-
TBD-
SP Domagnano-
Tre Penne-
TBD-
SP Cosmos3
SS Pennarossa0
La Fiorita-
TBD-
TBD-
Fiorentino-
Quarter-finals
Virtus2
Juvenes/Dogana0
Folgore2
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne0
SP Cosmos0
La Fiorita3
Fiorentino3
Semi-finals
Virtus3
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne1
La Fiorita2
Final
Virtus2
La Fiorita1
SP Domagnano1
Tre Penne3