Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fiorita vs Fiorentino

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Luca P.

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita host Fiorentino in the Campionato Sammarinese. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. La Fiorita have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Fiorentino's 2 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, La Fiorita have won 3 to Fiorentino's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward La Fiorita. La Fiorita in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Fiorita
44%
Draws
20%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • La Fiorita has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fiorentino.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campionato Sammarinese provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita Fiorentino
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
3:2
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Luca P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 36 / 100
Fiorentino 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita Fiorentino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Fiorentino let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

La Fiorita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fiorentino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS Fiorentino
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2