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La Fiorita vs SS Murata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
0 - 0
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita host SS Murata in the Campionato Sammarinese. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. SS Murata have shipped 2.8 goals a game lately, while La Fiorita have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.64. Head-to-head, La Fiorita have won 4 to SS Murata's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.71 vs 0.90, favoring La Fiorita. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
La Fiorita
30%
Draws
23%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SS Murata haven't matched La Fiorita's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans La Fiorita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Fiorita have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 20%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita SS Murata
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 12 1
Losses 8 26
Goals Scored 1.64 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 85 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Fiorita scored in 82% of their last 39 outings.

SS Murata has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Fiorita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS SS Murata
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fiorita

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 8

SS Murata

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)