Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fiorita vs SS Pennarossa

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita play SS Pennarossa in the Campionato Sammarinese. La Fiorita are favorites here. Recently, La Fiorita averaged 1.91 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. SS Pennarossa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, La Fiorita won 5, SS Pennarossa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for La Fiorita and 0.94 for SS Pennarossa. This points to a La Fiorita double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
La Fiorita
20%
Draws
24%
SS Pennarossa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • La Fiorita picked up more points recently compared to SS Pennarossa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 24%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita SS Pennarossa
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.91 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Pennarossa
5:0
Nov 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs La Fiorita
0:5
Feb 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs La Fiorita
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Pennarossa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Dormi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djuric M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SS Pennarossa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 55 / 100
SS Pennarossa 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita SS Pennarossa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick La Fiorita & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Fiorita attacking → ← attacking SS Pennarossa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

SS Pennarossa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

La Fiorita went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SS Pennarossa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2