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Stadium Background

La Gineta vs Alcazar Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Gineta in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Gineta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Gineta
20%
Draws
40%
Alcazar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Gineta have won more games recently than Alcazar.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on La Gineta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors La Gineta here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Alcazar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.09 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
4:0
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs La Gineta
0:2
Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
1:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs La Gineta
1:2
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Alcazar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 85 / 100
Alcazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Alcazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcazar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

La Gineta's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Alcazar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Gineta VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
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Alcazar

(Away)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)