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La Gineta vs Toledo 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 game between La Gineta and Toledo 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Gineta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
La Gineta
20%
Draws
64%
Toledo 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toledo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toledo 2 come out ahead of La Gineta on wins alone.
  • Model gives La Gineta a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 19%
Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Toledo 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs La Gineta
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Toledo 2
1:1
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Toledo 2
2:0
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs La Gineta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 49 / 100
Toledo 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Toledo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

La Gineta's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Toledo 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toledo 2
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
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Toledo 2

(Away)
14 May
Toledo 2
2 : 1
Illescas
07 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Toledo 2
29 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
23 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 4
Azuqueca
16 Apr
Madridejos
2 : 0
Toledo 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)