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La Gineta vs UD Talavera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 game between La Gineta and UD Talavera finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Gineta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
La Gineta
20%
Draws
64%
UD Talavera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Talavera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • UD Talavera have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — La Gineta are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans La Gineta's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 18%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta UD Talavera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs UD Talavera
1:0
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs La Gineta
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 67 / 100
UD Talavera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta UD Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Talavera let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: La Gineta scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

UD Talavera's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

La Gineta VS UD Talavera
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
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UD Talavera

(Away)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)