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La Gineta vs Villarrobledo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

La Gineta host Villarrobledo in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: La Gineta at 0 goals for, 0 against; Villarrobledo at 0.38 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, La Gineta have won 1 to Villarrobledo's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2016, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 0.74) point toward Villarrobledo. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
La Gineta
33%
Draws
40%
Villarrobledo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarrobledo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to La Gineta.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Villarrobledo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Villarrobledo
Matches Played 34 44
Wins 8 20
Draws 6 12
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Villarrobledo
3:2
Oct 31, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs La Gineta
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Villarrobledo
0:0
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs La Gineta
0:0
Mar 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs La Gineta
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 28 / 100
Villarrobledo 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Villarrobledo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Gineta scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Villarrobledo let in goals in 59% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

La Gineta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Villarrobledo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrobledo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Talavera38259485:2784
2UD Almansa38247762:3279
3Quintanar del Rey382112548:1975
4Manzanares382110759:2473
5Madridejos382012643:2172
6Villarrubia381714750:3565
7Marchamalo381781355:5159
8Mora CF381691351:3957
9Villarrobledo381591458:4954
10CD Puertollano3814111354:4653
11CD Pedroneras381491545:3751
12Toledo 2381622047:5550
13Atletico Ibanes3812121442:4048
14Albacete B381381759:5647
15Manchego Ciudad Real381371847:5746
16Almagro3811111643:4444
17La Gineta3811101739:5343
18Daimiel381172039:6740
19Alcazar38253121:11711
20Hellin Deportivo3802363:812