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La Granja vs Cuellar Balompie Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
La Granja
30%
Draws
23%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Granja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuellar Balompie haven't matched La Granja's recent run of results.
  • La Granja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
La Granja Clean Sheet 20%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Granja Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Cuellar Balompie
1:1
Dec 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs La Granja
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Granja 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Granja Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Granja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuellar Balompie let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

La Granja found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Cuellar Balompie has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Granja VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Granja

(Home)
21 Aug
La Granja
1 : 4
Gimnastica Segoviana
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1
La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
29 May
La Granja
0 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0
La Granja
Page 1 of 7

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)