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La Granja vs Santa Marta Tormes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Granja play Santa Marta Tormes in the Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Granja averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Santa Marta Tormes averaged 1.26 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, La Granja won 2, Santa Marta Tormes won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for La Granja and 0.99 for Santa Marta Tormes. This points to a Santa Marta Tormes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
La Granja
31%
Draws
41%
Santa Marta Tormes
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • La Granja picked up more points recently compared to Santa Marta Tormes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
La Granja Clean Sheet 23%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Granja Santa Marta Tormes
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs La Granja
0:0
May 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:0
Apr 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs La Granja
3:0
Jan 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs La Granja
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Granja 30 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Granja Santa Marta Tormes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Marta Tormes or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Granja attacking → ← attacking Santa Marta Tormes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Granja scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Santa Marta Tormes let in goals in 56% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

La Granja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Santa Marta Tormes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 64
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63