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La Jonquera vs Manlleu AEC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 game between La Jonquera and Manlleu AEC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Jonquera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
La Jonquera
15%
Draws
40%
Manlleu AEC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Jonquera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Manlleu AEC's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what La Jonquera have produced (0.5).
  • Model gives La Jonquera a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
La Jonquera Clean Sheet 18%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Jonquera Manlleu AEC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
La Jonquera vs Manlleu AEC
2:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs La Jonquera
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Jonquera 58 / 100
Manlleu AEC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Jonquera Manlleu AEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Jonquera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manlleu AEC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

La Jonquera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

La Jonquera scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

La Jonquera VS Manlleu AEC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Jonquera

(Home)
14 May
Santfeliuenc
0 : 1
La Jonquera
07 May
La Jonquera
0 : 0
Jupiter
30 Apr
FC Asco
0 : 2
La Jonquera
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
14 Apr
Olot
1 : 0
La Jonquera
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Manlleu AEC

(Away)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)