Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with La Muela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: La Muela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- La Muela carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans La Muela's way, sitting at 40%.
- La Muela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor La Muela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Muela | Cerceda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs Cerceda
1:0
Jun 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Cerceda vs La Muela
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Muela 40 / 100
Cerceda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Muela Cerceda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cerceda conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
La Muela scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Cerceda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Cerceda
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
La Muela
(Home) 15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
Page 1 of 6
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
03 Apr
La Muela
0 : 0 Eibar
27 Mar
La Muela
0 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
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Cerceda
(Away) 13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2 CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0 Cerceda
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2 Cerceda
07 Apr
Real Madrid B
4 : 2 Cerceda
25 Mar
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0 Cerceda
11 Mar
Toledo
2 : 3 Cerceda
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Almeria B4
Pena Deportiva3
TBD-
Burgos CF-
Azuqueca2
Universidad Oviedo1
TBD-
L Hospitalet-
Coruxo FC5
Parla3
TBD-
Oyonesa-
Amorebieta4
El Palo2
TBD-
La Roda-
Extremadura UD1
Novelda CF1
Ferriolense0
Mairena2
Real Avila3
UM Escobedo2
TBD-
Mancha-
Santboia2
Arandina1
TBD-
Corralejo-
Llanes4
Valladolid Promesas3
TBD-
Tudelano-
Arroyo3
Alfaro5
UCAM Murcia1
Cerceda4
CD Ourense1
Constancia2
CD Marino0
La Muela3
Getafe B3
Zaragoza B1
TBD-
Futbol Club Jumilla-
Iruna1
Illescas6
Anguiano0
Portugalete2
Ayamonte6
Cirbonero4
SD Ejea1
Alzira1
CF Talavera1
Reus FC Reddis2
Villarreal C1
Jerez CF1
Elgoibar0
Marino De Luanco3
Marinaleda1
Las Palmas B4
Prat0
Pena2
Bezana1
Motril2
Lorca Deportiva2
Haro Deportivo3
TBD-
SD Noja-
CD Tropezon2
Pajara Playas4
Trival Valderas3
Yeclano5
Semi-finals
Almeria B2
Burgos CF1
Azuqueca2
L Hospitalet3
Coruxo FC3
Oyonesa2
Amorebieta2
La Roda3
Extremadura UD2
Mairena2
Real Avila0
Mancha2
Santboia1
Corralejo1
Llanes2
Tudelano8
Alfaro1
Cerceda3
Constancia1
La Muela2
Getafe B2
Futbol Club Jumilla1
Illescas1
Portugalete2
Ayamonte0
Alzira1
Reus FC Reddis2
Jerez CF2
Marino De Luanco3
Las Palmas B6
Pena3
Motril3
Haro Deportivo3
SD Noja2
Pajara Playas1
Yeclano2
Final
Almeria B1
L Hospitalet1
Coruxo FC3
La Roda1
Extremadura UD4
Mancha2
Santboia4
Tudelano3
Cerceda2
La Muela3
Getafe B3
Portugalete2
Alzira6
Jerez CF2
Las Palmas B2
Pena3
Haro Deportivo1
Yeclano2