Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Muela vs Teruel

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teruel in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teruel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
La Muela
20%
Draws
16%
Teruel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Muela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • La Muela haven't matched Teruel's recent run of results.
  • La Muela are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
Teruel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela Teruel
Matches Played 35 36
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Teruel
0:1
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Teruel vs La Muela
0:1
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Teruel
2:2
Nov 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Teruel vs La Muela
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 67 / 100
Teruel 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela Teruel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Muela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Muela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Teruel lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Teruel conceded in 56% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Teruel
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Muela

(Home)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 7

Teruel

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
22 Aug
Teruel
0 : 2
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)