Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Nucia play Atletico Saguntino in the Tercera RFEF - Group 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Nucia averaged 1.35 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Atletico Saguntino averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, La Nucia won 2, Atletico Saguntino won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for La Nucia and 1.25 for Atletico Saguntino. This points to a La Nucia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Nucia
32%
Draws
32%
Atletico Saguntino
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • La Nucia picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Saguntino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Atletico Saguntino
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Meseguer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 36 / 100
Atletico Saguntino 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Atletico Saguntino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: La Nucia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Nucia attacking → ← attacking Atletico Saguntino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Nucia scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Atletico Saguntino let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

La Nucia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Saguntino lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 57
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Castellonense34207756:3067
2Atletico Saguntino34206850:3066
3Levante B341811554:2665
4Villarreal C34196963:3663
5La Nucia341613544:2661
6CD Bunol3413111034:4050
7Vall de Uxo3413101131:2949
8Ontinyent 1931 CF341391232:3048
9Torrellano341381340:3847
10Soneja341361535:4245
11Hercules B3410111331:4641
12Roda341171632:4540
13Crevillente349111444:4938
14Jove341081635:4438
15Atzeneta341071729:3937
16Utiel347101730:4531
17Alzira347101732:4931
18Recambios Colon342131927:5519