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La Nucia vs Mallorca B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Nucia host Mallorca B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mallorca B have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while La Nucia have conceded 0.5 and scored 1.37. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.05 xG vs 0.54) point toward La Nucia. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
La Nucia
20%
Draws
32%
Mallorca B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mallorca B average 2.34 goals a game right now, well clear of La Nucia's 1.37.
  • Win probability leans La Nucia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Mallorca B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.37 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 95 / 100
Mallorca B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Mallorca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Nucia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

La Nucia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mallorca B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Mallorca B registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS Mallorca B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca B

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Castellonense 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Orihuela 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 UCAM Murcia 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
5 Castellon B 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 CF Intercity 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Deportiva Minera 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Mallorca B 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Yeclano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Ciudad Cieza 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Ilicitano 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
12 Alcoyano 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Lorca Deportiva 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Valencia B 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Pena Deportiva 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
16 Baleares 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 UD Poblense 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
18 Real Murcia B 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)