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La Palma CF vs Tomares UD Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Casal L.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Pulet M.
88'
Prieto A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 game between La Palma CF and Tomares UD finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
La Palma CF
30%
Draws
47%
Tomares UD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomares UD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
La Palma CF Clean Sheet 22%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Palma CF Tomares UD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs La Palma CF
3:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs Tomares UD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Palma CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulet M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Palma CF 37 / 100
Tomares UD 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Palma CF Tomares UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomares UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Palma CF found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomares UD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: La Palma CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tomares UD
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Palma CF

(Home)
09 May
La Palma CF
1 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 May
Atletico Central
2 : 2
La Palma CF
01 May
Tomares UD
3 : 1
La Palma CF
27 Apr
La Palma CF
0 : 1
Puente Genil
13 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 1
La Palma CF
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Tomares UD

(Away)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0
Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)