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La Roche Vendee vs Aubagne FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tafni B.
Assist: Ahamada S.
16'
Porsan Clemente J.
23'
Lamy H.

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
La Roche Vendee
30%
Draws
19%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Roche Vendee lately — more wins on the board than Aubagne FC.
  • Model gives La Roche Vendee a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Aubagne FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 1.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Aubagne FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allemand T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tafni B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 76 / 100
Aubagne FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Roche Vendee scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Aubagne FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

La Roche Vendee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Aubagne FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
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Aubagne FC

(Away)
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
0 : 0
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)