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La Roche Vendee vs Bourg Peronnas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee host Bourg Peronnas in the Ligue 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bourg Peronnas have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while La Roche Vendee have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.56 - 0.76) back La Roche Vendee to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
La Roche Vendee
35%
Draws
10%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee have won more games recently than Bourg Peronnas.
  • Win probability leans La Roche Vendee's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 20%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.86 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 85 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Bourg Peronnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Roche Vendee scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

La Roche Vendee has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bourg Peronnas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Bourg Peronnas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Bourg Peronnas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
Page 1 of 6

Bourg Peronnas

(Away)
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)