Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee play Chauray in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Roche Vendee averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Chauray averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, La Roche Vendee won 2, Chauray won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for La Roche Vendee and 1.19 for Chauray. This points to a La Roche Vendee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
La Roche Vendee
15%
Draws
30%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee picked up more points recently compared to Chauray.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 20%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Chauray
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 2 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Chauray vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Nov 17, 2012 Coupe de France
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Agamah H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 54 / 100
Chauray 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Chauray

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick La Roche Vendee & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Roche Vendee attacking → ← attacking Chauray

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Chauray let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

La Roche Vendee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chauray lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 38
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325