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La Roche W vs Metz W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 2 Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
La Roche W
15%
Draws
59%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Metz W lately — more wins on the board than La Roche W.
  • Metz W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
La Roche W Clean Sheet 20%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche W Metz W
Matches Played 34 42
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.32 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Metz W
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs La Roche W
2:0
May 22, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
La Roche W vs Metz W
3:2
Sep 5, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs La Roche W
3:0
Apr 25, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs La Roche W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche W 10 / 100
Metz W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metz W conceded in 81% of 42 recent games.

La Roche W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

La Roche W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metz W
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche W

(Home)
11 Jan
Caen W
3 : 2
La Roche W
26 Jan
La Roche W
0 : 6
Paris FC W
12 Jan
La Roche W
2 : 1
Lorient W
06 Jan
Bordeaux W
3 : 2
La Roche W
19 Aug
La Roche W
0 : 4
Bordeaux W
Page 1 of 7

Metz W

(Away)
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lille W 22 18 1 3 49:14 55
2 Metz W 22 11 7 4 37:22 40
3 Strasbourg W 22 11 7 4 29:16 40
4 Le Mans W 22 10 4 8 30:31 34
5 Lens W 22 9 4 9 34:36 31
6 Orleans W 22 8 5 9 30:30 29
7 Nantes W 22 8 4 10 22:25 28
8 Saint-Malo W 22 7 5 10 21:28 26
9 Brest W 22 6 6 10 21:27 24
10 La Roche W 22 6 5 11 25:33 23
11 Issy W 22 7 1 14 21:31 22
12 CA Paris W 22 5 3 14 18:44 18
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2023/2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne W 22 18 2 2 82:13 56
2 Marseille W 22 16 3 3 61:17 51
3 Montauban W 22 13 4 5 46:31 43
4 Thonon Evian W 22 12 4 6 46:21 40
5 Nice W 22 12 2 8 38:34 38
6 Albi-Marssac W 22 10 0 12 35:40 30
7 Grenoble W 22 9 3 10 34:30 30
8 Toulouse W 22 7 4 11 39:38 25
9 Yzeure Allier W 22 7 3 12 29:41 24
10 Le Puy W 22 5 6 11 26:42 21
11 Clermont W 22 4 1 17 14:55 13
12 Nimes W 22 2 2 18 9:97 8
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2023/2024 (Main)