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La Roda vs Conquense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Sun, Apr 24, 2022
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roda host Conquense in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: La Roda at 0 goals for, 3.07 against; Conquense at 1.58 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Conquense slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2022, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.24, favoring Conquense. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Roda
15%
Draws
85%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than La Roda.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Conquense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Conquense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
La Roda Clean Sheet 19%
Conquense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roda Conquense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 18
Draws 0 7
Losses 30 6
Goals Scored 0 1.58
Goals Conceded 3.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Conquense
0:3
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs La Roda
3:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Conquense
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs La Roda
1:0
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs La Roda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roda 10 / 100
Conquense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roda Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conquense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: La Roda scored in 0% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Conquense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roda

(Home)
05 Aug
La Roda
0 : 5
Villarrobledo
01 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 0
La Roda
24 Apr
La Roda
0 : 3
Conquense
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
03 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
3 : 0
La Roda
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Conquense

(Away)
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)