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La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Sun, Dec 19, 2021
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roda host Manchego Ciudad Real in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022. Manchego Ciudad Real are expected to control this from the start. Manchego Ciudad Real have shipped 0.65 goals a game lately, while La Roda have conceded 3.07 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Manchego Ciudad Real slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2022, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.30, favoring Manchego Ciudad Real. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Roda
15%
Draws
85%
Manchego Ciudad Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchego Ciudad Real carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manchego Ciudad Real are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54.6%
La Roda Clean Sheet 19%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roda Manchego Ciudad Real
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 18
Draws 0 6
Losses 30 7
Goals Scored 0 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.07 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs La Roda
3:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:3
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0
Dec 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs La Roda
3:0
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Roda vs Manchego Ciudad Real
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roda 10 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roda Manchego Ciudad Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchego Ciudad Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

La Roda found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (30 games).

Manchego Ciudad Real has conceded goals in 39% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Manchego Ciudad Real has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manchego Ciudad Real
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roda

(Home)
05 Aug
La Roda
0 : 5
Villarrobledo
01 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 0
La Roda
24 Apr
La Roda
0 : 3
Conquense
10 Apr
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Roda
03 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
3 : 0
La Roda
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Manchego Ciudad Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)