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La Troncal FC vs Imbabura

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Imbabura in this Copa Ecuador 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imbabura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Troncal FC
44%
Draws
20%
Imbabura
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Imbabura have won more games recently than La Troncal FC.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Ecuador 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
La Troncal FC Clean Sheet 20%
Imbabura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Troncal FC Imbabura
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Copa Ecuador
La Troncal FC vs Imbabura
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Troncal FC 36 / 100
Imbabura 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Troncal FC Imbabura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Troncal FC found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (1 games).

Imbabura let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Imbabura lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imbabura
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra0
San Antonio1
Manta-
TBD-
Liga De Macas2
Olmedo3
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Ecuagenera2
Cumbaya1
Aucas-
TBD-
Banos3
Huaquillas FC2
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
Luz Valdivia1
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Delfin-
TBD-
CD San Camilo0
Guayaquil City1
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Leones del Norte4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones0
Orense-
TBD-
CD Miguel Iturralde2
Patria1
Emelec-
TBD-
Gualaceo2
Mineros0
Vinotinto-
TBD-
La Troncal FC1
Imbabura2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Independiente Juniors1
LDU Portoviejo2
Macara-
TBD-
Rio Aguarico2
Club Sportivo Loja1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Atletico Vinotinto2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
La Cantera4
Montufar Futbol Club1
Libertad-
TBD-
Club Deportivo Panamericana0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Deportivo Coca0
22 de Julio3
EL Nacional-
TBD-
1/16-finals
San Antonio1
Manta0
Olmedo1
LDU Quito2
Ecuagenera0
Aucas1
Banos0
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo3
Delfin2
Guayaquil City3
Mushuc Runa1
Leones del Norte1
Orense0
CD Miguel Iturralde1
Emelec2
Gualaceo2
Vinotinto1
Imbabura0
Independiente del Valle1
LDU Portoviejo1
Macara0
Rio Aguarico0
U. Catolica1
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Barcelona SC0
La Cantera1
Libertad0
Nueve de Octubre1
Tecnico U.0
22 de Julio0
EL Nacional3
1/8-finals
San Antonio0
LDU Quito4
Aucas1
Dep. Cuenca2
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Guayaquil City3
Leones del Norte0
Emelec1
Gualaceo0
Independiente del Valle6
LDU Portoviejo1
U. Catolica3
CD Cuenca Juniors6
La Cantera1
Nueve de Octubre2
EL Nacional1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito2
Dep. Cuenca0
Guayaquil City0
Emelec1
Independiente del Valle1
U. Catolica2
CD Cuenca Juniors2
Nueve de Octubre1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito3
Emelec2
U. Catolica4
CD Cuenca Juniors1
Final
LDU Quito2
U. Catolica3