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La Union (Malacitano) vs Antoniano Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rodriguez D.
38' Event
Bernabeu G.
40' Event
Fernandez Marquez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between La Union (Malacitano) and Antoniano finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
La Union (Malacitano)
20%
Draws
36%
Antoniano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Union (Malacitano)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • La Union (Malacitano) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives La Union (Malacitano) a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%
Antoniano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union (Malacitano) Antoniano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Antoniano
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Antoniano vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Antoniano vs La Union (Malacitano)
1:4
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Antoniano
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Antoniano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernabeu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raigal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Antoniano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez Marquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union (Malacitano) 68 / 100
Antoniano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union (Malacitano) Antoniano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Union (Malacitano) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano)'s goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Antoniano has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: La Union (Malacitano) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Union (Malacitano) VS Antoniano
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union (Malacitano)

(Home)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
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Antoniano

(Away)
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
13 Sept
Betis B
0 : 0
Antoniano
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
25 Aug
Portuense
0 : 2
Antoniano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)