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La Union (Malacitano) vs Puente Genil Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Riera R.

AI Match Summary

La Union (Malacitano) in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Union (Malacitano).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
La Union (Malacitano)
15%
Draws
46%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • La Union (Malacitano) have won more games recently than Puente Genil.
  • La Union (Malacitano) are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 19%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Union (Malacitano) Puente Genil
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs Puente Genil
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Union (Malacitano) Compare

Top Goalscorer Riera R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Puente Genil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Union (Malacitano) 36 / 100
Puente Genil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Union (Malacitano) Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Union (Malacitano) scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Puente Genil conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Solid form: La Union (Malacitano) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Union (Malacitano) VS Puente Genil
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Union (Malacitano)

(Home)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
La Union (Malacitano)
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Puente Genil

(Away)
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)