Sport Picks

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La Virgen vs CD Laguna

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Martinez M.
57' Event
Prieto V.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Calzado J.

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
La Virgen
15%
Draws
0%
CD Laguna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • La Virgen have won more games recently than CD Laguna.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on La Virgen taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 20%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen CD Laguna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Laguna
4:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs La Virgen
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs La Virgen
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs CD Laguna
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calzado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CD Laguna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 85 / 100
CD Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen CD Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Away concern: CD Laguna has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

La Virgen's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Laguna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS CD Laguna
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

CD Laguna

(Away)
10 May
CD Laguna
1 : 3
Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1
CD Laguna
01 May
CD Laguna
1 : 4
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0
CD Laguna
20 Apr
CD Laguna
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)