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La Virgen vs Cuellar Balompie Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 game between La Virgen and Cuellar Balompie finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
La Virgen
20%
Draws
7%
Cuellar Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Virgen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Virgen come out ahead of Cuellar Balompie on wins alone.
  • Model gives La Virgen a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 20%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.12 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs La Virgen
1:2
Oct 27, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Cuellar Balompie
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 85 / 100
Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Cuellar Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Virgen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cuellar Balompie conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

La Virgen found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

La Virgen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1
Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1
La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2
La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0
La Virgen
Page 1 of 7

Cuellar Balompie

(Away)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)