Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Virgen vs Villaralbo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lescun M.
89'
Basalo A.
89'
Basalo A.

AI Match Summary

La Virgen in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Virgen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
La Virgen
33%
Draws
40%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villaralbo lately — more wins on the board than La Virgen.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Villaralbo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 19%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Virgen Villaralbo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Villaralbo
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs La Virgen
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Villaralbo
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs La Virgen
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Villaralbo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Virgen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lescun M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Villaralbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Virgen 28 / 100
Villaralbo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Virgen Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Virgen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Villaralbo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Villaralbo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Virgen VS Villaralbo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Virgen

(Home)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
25 Apr
Palencia CF
3 : 2
La Virgen
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

Villaralbo

(Away)
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Villaralbo
2 : 1
Colegios Diocesanos
26 Apr
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 1
Villaralbo
18 Apr
Villaralbo
1 : 1
Guijuelo
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)