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Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tartu Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Haapsalu Linnastaadion
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kruusla G.
39' Event
Kaasik K.
46'
Sub
Suder H. In: Sepp R.
Out: Suder H.

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
6%
Draws
90%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Laanemaa Haapsalu haven't matched Tartu Kalev's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tartu Kalev have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 18%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laanemaa Haapsalu Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 15
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
10:0
Jul 12, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tartu Kalev
0:7
May 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
6:1
Sep 14, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruusla G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kaasik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
Tartu Kalev 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laanemaa Haapsalu Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Tartu Kalev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Laanemaa Haapsalu scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Laanemaa Haapsalu VS Tartu Kalev
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362853116:3989
2Nomme Utd U21362331093:5372
3Johvi Phoenix362151095:6168
4Narva U21362131287:5366
5Tartu Kalev361941381:5361
6Tabasalu361381560:6747
7Legion361351866:9444
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361181765:7141
9Kuressaare U2136612940:10519
10Laanemaa Haapsalu36323133:14011