Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lae City vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League Govind Park, Ba
Lae City Logo

Lae City

4 - 1
FT
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kamake S.
22'
Moses N.
38'
Tuteru S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lae City in this OFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lae City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lae City
15%
Draws
49%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupapa lately — more wins on the board than Lae City.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lae City Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lae City Tupapa
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.04 2.74
Goals Conceded 2.65 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 OFC Champions League
Lae City vs Tupapa
4:1
Feb 10, 2018 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Lae City
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lae City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamake S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moses N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rimene-Albrett T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lae City 29 / 100
Tupapa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lae City Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lae City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lae City scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Tupapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Tupapa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lae City VS Tupapa
1.5 Goals Scored 4
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lae City

(Home)
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
18 Feb
Lae City
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
11 Feb
PNG Hekari
2 : 1
Lae City
Page 1 of 6

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Central Coast 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Venus 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABM Galaxy 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Rewa 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)