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Lagarto U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lagarto U20 host Atletico Gloriense U20 in the Sergipano U20. Lagarto U20 are expected to control this from the start. Lagarto U20 have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Atletico Gloriense U20's 0.88 scored and 2.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Lagarto U20 have won 2 to Atletico Gloriense U20's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 0.94) point toward Lagarto U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lagarto U20
20%
Draws
0%
Atletico Gloriense U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lagarto U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Lagarto U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lagarto U20 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lagarto U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Gloriense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagarto U20 Atletico Gloriense U20
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 9 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Sergipano U20
Lagarto U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20
3:0
Jun 19, 2024 Sergipano U20
Lagarto U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagarto U20 85 / 100
Atletico Gloriense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagarto U20 Atletico Gloriense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagarto U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Gloriense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 17 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Gloriense U20's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lagarto U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lagarto U20 VS Atletico Gloriense U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagarto U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 0
Lagarto U20
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Atletico Gloriense U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
26 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Confianca U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)