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Lago Verde vs Sao Jose (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Lago Verde and Sao Jose (MA) finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lago Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lago Verde
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lago Verde come out ahead of Sao Jose (MA) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lago Verde a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lago Verde Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 2.88 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Sao Jose (MA)
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Lago Verde
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lago Verde 85 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lago Verde Sao Jose (MA)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lago Verde scored in 93% of their last 14 games.

Sao Jose (MA) let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lago Verde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lago Verde VS Sao Jose (MA)
2.88 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luminense43109:110
2Sao Luis421113:47
3Americano Bacabal42025:96
4Tupan41216:45
5Expressinho40042:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lago Verde431010:410
2Timon EC (MA)41217:75
3Sao Jose (MA)40132:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ITZ Sport43107:310
2Cordino EC42025:66
3Balsas40132:51