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Lago Verde vs Timon EC (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Lago Verde and Timon EC (MA) finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lago Verde
30%
Draws
31%
Timon EC (MA)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lago Verde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lago Verde's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Timon EC (MA) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lago Verde Timon EC (MA)
Matches Played 17 20
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.47 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Maranhense 2
Timon EC (MA) vs Lago Verde
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Timon EC (MA)
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lago Verde 67 / 100
Timon EC (MA) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lago Verde Timon EC (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lago Verde scored in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lago Verde went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Timon EC (MA) conceded in 55% of 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lago Verde VS Timon EC (MA)
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lago Verde

(Home)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

Timon EC (MA)

(Away)
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
27 Jun
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Cordino EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)