Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lagoa vs Industria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Duarte P.
57' Event
Santos R.
80' Event
Nicolatti V.

AI Match Summary

Lagoa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lagoa
6%
Draws
4%
Industria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lagoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagoa lately — more wins on the board than Industria.
  • Win probability leans Lagoa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lagoa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 68%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagoa Industria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Industria
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Lagoa
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Lagoa
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Industria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolatti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagoa 95 / 100
Industria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagoa Industria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagoa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Industria let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Lagoa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lagoa VS Industria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagoa

(Home)
18 Apr
Lagoa
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Lagoa
0 : 0
Malveira
15 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

Industria

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)