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Lagoa vs Malveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Lagoa Logo

Lagoa

0 - 0
FT
Malveira Logo

Malveira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lagoa
30%
Draws
31%
Malveira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lagoa at 1.57 per game, Malveira at 1.28.
  • Win probability leans Lagoa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 20%
Malveira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagoa Malveira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Malveira
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Lagoa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagoa 42 / 100
Malveira 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagoa Malveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagoa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Malveira has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Lagoa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Malveira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagoa VS Malveira
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagoa

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
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Malveira

(Away)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)