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Lagun Onak vs Leioa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abouallal Ziani I.
34' Event
Pecina A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
29%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Leioa at 1.37 per game, Lagun Onak at 1.28.
  • Win probability leans Lagun Onak's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 20%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Leioa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Leioa
1:1
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Lagun Onak
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Leioa
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Lagun Onak
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Leioa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagun Onak Compare

Top Goalscorer Abouallal Ziani I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.74

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecina A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 85 / 100
Leioa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leioa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS Leioa
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Eibar C 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Sodupe 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
4 Derio 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 UD Aretxabaleta 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
6 Alaves C 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
7 Real Sociedad C 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Touring KE 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
9 Beasain 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Pasaia 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
11 Real Union B 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
12 Lagun Onak 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
13 Leioa 3 0 3 0 5:5 3
14 SD Erandio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
15 Santurtzi 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
16 SCD Durango 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
17 San Ignacio 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
18 Amurrio Club 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)