Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Match Events

20'

Odriozola U.

70'

Larranaga P.

82'

Adjabeng A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lagun Onak host Real Sociedad C in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lagun Onak have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Real Sociedad C's 2 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Lagun Onak have won 3 to Real Sociedad C's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.56) back Lagun Onak to edge this. Lagun Onak in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lagun Onak

Draws

90%

Real Sociedad C

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Real Sociedad C demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Lagun Onak (1.75 avg goals).
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Real Sociedad C.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 4 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 15%

Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lagun Onak	Real Sociedad C
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	15
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.75	2
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Lagun Onak vs Real Sociedad C

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:4

Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Lagun Onak vs Real Sociedad C

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Real Sociedad C vs Lagun Onak

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Lagun Onak vs Real Sociedad C

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagun Onak Compare

Top Goalscorer Odriozola U.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aranbarri J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Real Sociedad C Compare

Top Goalscorer Larranaga P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Adjabeng A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 10 / 100

Real Sociedad C 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lagun Onak Real Sociedad C

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Real Sociedad C let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Sociedad C lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS Real Sociedad C

1.75 Goals Scored 2

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	34	24	6	4	70:29	78
2	Leioa	34	18	7	9	50:34	61
3	Derio	34	17	7	10	54:40	58
4	Lagun Onak	34	17	6	11	54:34	57
5	Touring KE	34	16	9	9	47:35	57
6	Real Sociedad C	34	17	4	13	48:39	55
7	San Ignacio	34	16	7	11	37:27	55
8	Aurrera de Vitoria	34	16	6	12	42:41	54
9	Alaves C	34	15	8	11	57:40	53
10	UD Aretxabaleta	34	13	6	15	56:61	45
11	SCD Durango	34	11	11	12	35:36	44
12	Santurtzi	34	9	12	13	32:45	39
13	Eibar C	34	9	9	16	44:53	36
14	Pasaia	34	9	9	16	26:46	36
15	Anorga	34	11	4	19	37:59	34
16	Zamudio	34	9	6	19	42:59	33
17	Zarautz KE	34	8	6	20	30:60	30
18	SD Deusto	34	6	7	21	26:49	25