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Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sanchez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Lagun Onak and San Ignacio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
18%
San Ignacio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

18% / Low Confidence
  • Lagun Onak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 10%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak San Ignacio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak
0:5
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lagun Onak Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Ignacio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 26 / 100
San Ignacio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak San Ignacio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Ignacio conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS San Ignacio
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

San Ignacio

(Away)
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Derio 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Touring KE 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Pasaia 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
5 Lagun Onak 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
6 Leioa 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
7 SD Erandio 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
8 Real Sociedad C 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Eibar C 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
10 SCD Durango 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
11 UD Aretxabaleta 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
12 Real Union B 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
13 Sodupe 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
14 Alaves C 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
15 Beasain 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
16 Santurtzi 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
17 San Ignacio 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Amurrio Club 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)