Sport Picks
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
67'
67'
Castillo J.
AI Match Summary
San Ignacio in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Ignacio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagun Onak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Ignacio haven't matched Lagun Onak's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lagun Onak a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 68%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lagun Onak | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Lagun Onak
0:5
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs San Ignacio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lagun Onak Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
San Ignacio Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lagun Onak 50 / 100
San Ignacio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lagun Onak San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lagun Onak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lagun Onak scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
San Ignacio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lagun Onak VS San Ignacio
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lagun Onak
(Home) 27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
17 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 0 Derio
03 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Eibar C
Page 1 of 3
San Ignacio
(Away) 27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3 Leioa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4 San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3 San Ignacio
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
