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Lagun Onak vs Sodupe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Lagun Onak and Sodupe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lagun Onak
35%
Draws
32%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lagun Onak come out ahead of Sodupe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lagun Onak's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 20%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Sodupe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Sodupe
1:1
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Lagun Onak
3:1
Feb 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Sodupe
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Lagun Onak
1:1
Jan 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Sodupe
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 36 / 100
Sodupe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Sodupe let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS Sodupe
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

Sodupe

(Away)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)