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Lagun Onak vs Touring KE

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lagun Onak
30%
Draws
41%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Touring KE at 1.41 per game, Lagun Onak at 1.28.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 18%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lagun Onak Touring KE
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Touring KE
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Lagun Onak
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Touring KE
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Lagun Onak
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Lagun Onak
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lagun Onak 32 / 100
Touring KE 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lagun Onak Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagun Onak found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Touring KE let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Lagun Onak went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lagun Onak VS Touring KE
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lagun Onak

(Home)
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
24 May
Derio
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
Page 1 of 6

Touring KE

(Away)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)